Pick The Cup Winner
Of The 2020 Melbourne Cup By Max Hitchins
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The next Melbourne Cup will be held on the 3rd November 2020.

2019 Melbourne Cup 'Max-watch' videos

Important Note: If you are returning to this page after a previous visit may I suggest you 'refresh' the page. Otherwise you may miss out on the continual addition of videos to this page. If you are not sure how to 'refresh' you computer...ask a teenager! (Windows: CTRL+F5; MacOS: ⌘+R)

This year I decided to create a 2019 Melbourne Cup 'Max-watch' page of videos for our site. As my Dad used to say "Son, showing is better than telling" I thought I'd create videos about all of the top chances (particularly the internationals) in the 2019 Melbourne Cup.

And may I ask a favour of you? If you enjoy these research videos I sure would appreciate if you would share this page with some of your friends. I think they will appreciate you thinking of them.

Good luck in the 2019 Melbourne Cup.

BTW...If you are looking at this page it probably means you really are serious about the Melbourne Cup. That being the case can I suggest you contemplate investing in my 2019 Trifecta Thoughts e-book. Click here to check it out. In it you will find some seriously good ideas annual subscribers have shared with us.

Eg, The day after the 2018 Melbourne Cup James from Victoria Point QLD wrote: "Hi Max. Just wanted to give a big shout out and say thank you for your booklets including the extra booklet on Trifectas. Following the system, I placed a box trifecta on the international horses that, as per Trifecta Thoughts, had won races overseas. This resulted in me getting the first three places of the Cup and I pocketed $1100. Nearly had the first four as well based on that info. Thank again again Max."

The 2019 Melbourne Cup 'Max-watch' videos

 

Marmelo

Marmelo (update)

Marmelo Update 19/10/19 : Marmelo WILL NOT run in Australia before the Melbourne Cup.

 Update 30/10/19:  By order of the Stewards Marmelo has been withdrawn from the 2019 Melbourne Cup.  There is media talk of a legal challenge being mounted against VRC to force them to accept Marmelo back into the field.  WATCH THIS SPACE!

Finche

Finche Update 21/9/19: Mitch Cohen of Racenet.com.au wrote " The Melbourne Cup beckons for Finche after Chris Waller’s talented imported produced the goods to win the Group II Kingston Town Stakes (2000m) at Randwick on Saturday. Finche finished fourth in the Melbourne Cup in his first start for Waller last year and is destined to race on the first Tuesday in November following a classy second-up performance.“It’s a little closer after today,” Waller said.“We’ll have to go home and map out a suitable plan. "He’s a very talented horse. We look forward to getting him there. ”Finche is now a $15 equal favourite with TAB.com.au for the Melbourne Cup alongside the likes of Cross Counter and Constantinople. Waller was taking a wait and see approach on what path he would take to the $8 million handicap. “I am not sure,” he said.“It hasn’t been our plan to target any particular race."I wanted to get a couple of runs into him early just to catch up and work which way we get (to the Melbourne Cup)."

Finche Update 11/10/19: On 5/10/19 Finche ran 2nd on Turnbull Stakes at Flemington. Click here to watch the race. : As a result of these two races and the fact three time Melbourne Cup winning jockey Kerrin McEvoy has been booked to ride him in the Cup he is now $9.00 with Bookies.

Finche Update 19/10/19: Favourite for the Caulfield Cup but ran 5th to Japanese horse Mer De Glace.

 

Steel Prince

Steel Prince Update 21/9/19: STEEL PRINCE ran in the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes over 2000 on this date. Media report told "Steel Prince proved he is well and truly on track for the Melbourne Cup recording the quickest last 200 metres of the race in 11.90 according to Daily Sectionals. We'll next see STEEL PRINCE in the Herbert Power Stakes over 2400 metres at Caulfield in three weeks."

Steel Prince Update 13/10/19: Scratched from Herbert Field Stakes on Saturday 12/10 just before they jumped. Very disappointing Tweet from @FreedmanRacing explained what happened: "Steel Prince looks to have sustained a 'superficial laceration' to his near hind leg after getting it caught when fractious in the barrier. To be decided after assessing it tomorrow morning, options from here include Moonee Valley Cup (26/10) or Geelong Cup (23/10)." More: Media tells it was an abrasion on the thigh. Steel Prince is still en route to the Melbourne Cup.   Steel Prince Update: Entered to run in the Geelong Cup on 23/10/19. Was a disappointing 7th in Geelong Cup.  I expected a better performance.  Steel Prince Update 28/10/19:  Anthony Freedman has enlisted the services of Melbourne Cup (3200m) winning jockey Brett Prebble to pilot Steel Prince in the $8 million November feature.  Prebble claimed his maiden Melbourne Cup on the Lloyd Williams owned Green Moon in 2012 

 

Red Verdon

Red Verdon Update 19/10/19 : Ran 7th in the Caulfield Cup on the 19th of October after having some bad luck in running.

Update: 22/10/19. Red Verdon has “an emerging bone issue” and would need a period of rest, ruling the horse out of the Melbourne spring.

Will not be running in the 2019 Melbourne Cup.

 

Mustajeer

Mustajeer Update 19/10/19: Ran a good race in the Caulfield Cup on 19/10/19 finishing on strongly for 6th place.  Update 28/10/19: Damian OLiver has been booked to ride Mustajeer in the Cup.

 

Constantinople

Constantinople Update. Prior to coming to Australia Constantinople ran 2nd to Logician in the Great Voltigeur Stakes over 2385 metres (Purple & White Sleeves - Purple cap) at the York Festival Ebor Festival. This is the same race Cross Counter won in 2018 prior to winning the 2018 Melbourne Cup. In that race, over 2200 metres) he carried 57kgs. In the Melbourne Cup he will carry 52.5kgs.

15/10/19: David Hayes (Trainer) said, prior to the Caulfield Cup "Constantinople is our Melbourne Cup horse as he’s an out and out stayer but that’s not to say he can’t win on Saturday,” he said. “He galloped as well as Cape Of Good Hope. We’re using the Caulfield Cup to learn about him for the Melbourne Cup but it wouldn’t surprise me if he ran a big race.”

Update 19/10/19: Ran an impressive 4th in the Caulfield Cup carrying 53kgs. As a result is now favourite for the Melbourne Cup.

Update 21/10/19. Stephen Brassel from Racenet reported today that Glen Boss will ride Constantinople in the Melbourne Cup. Boss is already a three time winner of the Melbourne Cup winning on Makybe Diva in 2003, 2004 and 2005. Add to this on Saturday 19th October, he won the world's richest race on Turf - The Everest at Randwick - on Yes, Yes, Yes. Now that's a in-form jockey!  

Update 27/10/19:  Glen Boss was suspended for his ride on Attention Run in the City Tattersalls Cup at Randwick. He was given a six meetings suspension beginning on the 3rd of November.  He has indicated he will appeal this suspension.   Watch this space.   Update:28/10/19: Champion Hong Kong jockey Joao Moreira has been booked on standby to ride Melbourne Cup favourite Constantinople should Glen Boss be unsuccessful in his suspension appeal.  At least nine international jockeys are expected to descend on Melbourne for the Cup, headlined by the "Magic Man" Moreira, Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori.  Update 1/11/19: Constantinople remains a firm favourite for the Cup at $7.00.  Mer De Glace is second favourite at $8.00.

 

A Prince Of Arran

Prince Of Arran Update 14/10/19: So close yet no closer to securing Melbourne Cup entry. That’s the scenario for the Charlie Fellowes-trained Prince of Arran after his heartbreaking second in Saturday’s $400,000 G2 Herbert Power Stakes (2400m) at Caulfield.Prince of Arran sustained a long run, striding into the race off the track before the home turn, fighting off several rivals, only to be gathered in late by The Chosen One and lose by a half-length. It’s the second consecutive season that Prince of Arran started his Australian campaign with a placing in the Herbert Power – last year third behind Yucatan and Brimham Rocks. He would then win the G3 Lexus Stakes (2500m) before finishing third in the G1 Melbourne Cup (3200m) behind Cross Counter and Marmelo.

Update 19/10/19: Missed out on getting a running in the Caulfield Cup on 19/10/19. Still not qualified for the Melbourne Cup. Plan is to run in the Geelong Cup on 23/10/19. That placing also hasn't assured him of anything in terms of the 2019 Melbourne Cup, as he is currently 38th in the ballot order to gain a start in the $8 million feature. A Geelong Cup win, and subsequent weight penalty, would help his chances of again tackling the two miles at Flemington. Andrew Ramsden winner Steel Prince (Melbourne Cup ballot exempt) and Muntahaa (22nd in order of entry) are assured of a run in the Melbourne Cup, while Neufbosc (33rd), True Self (41st), Red Galileo (45th), Dal Harraild (46th), Grey Lion (47th), Haky (48th), Supernova (55th) and Red Cardinal (61st) all need to win and get a weight penalty to aid their chances of a Melbourne Cup start.

Update 23/1019: Prince Of Arran won the Geelong Cup in the fastrest time for the last 15 years. Hoping to get .5 to 1kg penalty which should get him into the Melbourne Cup.  Update: 25/10/19:  Geelong Cup winner Prince Of Arran is guaranteed a Melbourne Cup start after Racing Victoria chief handicapper Greg Carpenter penalised the UK-trained horse one kilogram for Wednesday's win in the Geelong Cup.

 

Cross Counter

Cross Counter Update: 16/9/19. Brad Waters in Racenet: "A Melbourne Cup-winning owner has described Cross Counter’s 2019 Melbourne Cup weight as “a gift” Cross Counter won last year’s Melbourne Cup with 51kg but is the 57.5kg topweight for his title defence at Flemington in November.The Godolphin stayer won the Group II Dubai Gold Cup in March and twice finished within two lengths of the outstanding stayer Stradivarius in England before the release of the 2019 Melbourne Cup weights. Syndicator Luke Murrell, whose company Australian Bloodstock syndicated the 2014 Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist, said Cross Counter was extremely well in with his current weight. “Cross Counter, with 57.5kg he has been gifted the race this year,” Murrell said.“He’s had seven starts in Group company for three wins- two at Group Ilevel and two placings to the best stayer in the world in Stradivarius – basically the Melbourne Cup is over before we start if he travels well.“How you can get into a Melbourne Cup having won last year - then winning the Dubai Gold Cup - then with the fat Stradivarius form – with 57.5kg is surprising.“You can only assume he's a put in and take out job - and the $17 is a gift this far out - if he arrives here on the day, he will start 4/1.”
Update 27/10/19: UK jockey James Doyle will ride Cross Counter in the Melbourne Cup.  Update 30/10/19: News.com.au reported:  Chris Connett (Charlie Appleby's travelling forman) believes Cross Counter can defend his Cup crown despite carrying 57.5kg – a hefty rise of six kilograms on his winning weight in 2018.  “Obviously it’s a lot more weight than last year,” Connett said. “But he's a bigger, stronger horse than then and as long as he doesn't draw 19 as he did last year.“ He's run some very solid races, his run at Royal Ascot was eye-catching. He travelled into the race and he was the only one that made ground on the three horses that beat him.  “His run at Goodwood was solid, and his run in Ireland in the Irish St Leger was a bit of a messy race but he was solid in the way he has finished off his races without winning.”


Cross Counter WILL NOT run in Australia before the Melbourne Cup.

 

Ispolini


Ispolini Update 16/10/19: Carl Di Iorio from Racing.com reported on Ispolini's win in the German St Leger on the 16th of September..The margin was narrow but Ispolini remains on track for this year’s Lexus Melbourne Cup after winning Sunday’s €55,000 (A$90,000) G3 Deutsches St Leger (2800m) at Dortmund.The Godolphin stayer trained by Charlie Appleby was guided to victory by James Doyle, who produced a patient ride aboard the northern hemisphere four-year-old.Ispolini ($1.70 favourite) jumped quickly from the inside barrier before being restrained by Doyle to settle four back on the fence in the 13-horse field.Doyle manoeuvred Ispolini into the clear at the top of the straight with an unimpeded run and the son of Dubawi quickly raced to the lead, maintaining his advantage under hand and heels over the final 100 metres to win by a neck.

Update 27/10/19: Norwegian born jockey William Buick will ride Ispolini in the Melbourne Cup.  Update: 30/10/19: News.com.au report: The Melbourne Cup destiny of Godolphin’s Ispolini rests on the results of veterinary scans, although trainer Charlie Appleby’s travelling foreman insists the stayer looks “good to my eye”. Ispolini, who is attempting to emulate Cross Counter’s 2018 success, worked strongly at Werribee on Tuesday but the colt will come under more scrutiny from Racing Victoria vets before being cleared to start in the Cup.

Ispolini WILL NOT run in Australia before the Melbourne Cup.
Update 30/10/19:  By order of the Stewards Marmelo has been withdrawn from the 2019 Melbourne Cup. 

 

 

Avilius

Avilius Update: On Saturday 21st September 2019 in the Optic White Stakes (also known as the George Main Stakes) at Randwick over 1600 metres Avilius returned to peak form with a very smart performance in recording his third Group 1 victory. He settled back in second last place in the nine-horse field, improved on straightening, took the lead at the 100metre mark and then drew away to score decisively. Trainer James Cummings has indicated the Cox Plate will be his primary target this year. However Avilius is still nominated in the Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cups as well as the Cox Plate. It hard to think the son of legendary Melbourne Cup trainer Bart Cummings would not be targeting the Melbourne Cup with a horse as good as Avilius.   Update 27/10/19 : Avilius finished 7th in the Cox Plate on the 26th October. He was 7.1 lengths behind Japanese horse Lys Gracieux.   Update 27/10/19:     Note: Avilius will not be running in the 2019 Melbourne Cup.

Raymond Tusk


Raymond Tusk Update 14/10/19:
Racing Victoria on Monday morning advised that the Richard Hannon-trained five-year-old, a last-start fourth place-getter in the Ebor Handicap, would bypass the $5 million Caulfield Cup to concentrate on the Melbourne Cup. Hence

Raymond Tusk WILL NOT run in Australia before the Melbourne Cup.

 

Master Of Reality

Update Master of Reality 20/10/19: Nominated for the Cox Plate on 26/10/19 prior to running in the Melbourne Cup but he did not make it into the field. Update: 23/10/19. Frankie Dettori definitely locked in to ride Master Of Reality for Lloyd Williams. The champion jockey has ridden in 16 Melbourne Cups with his best results being second place on Central Park in and Max Dynamite in 2015.

Master of Reality WILL NOT run in Australia before the Melbourne Cup.

Surprise Baby

 

Il Paridiso

 

Mer De Glace

 Update 1/11/19: Constantinople remains a firm favourite for the Cup at $7.00.  Mer De Glace is second favourite at $8.00.

Southern France

 

Vow and Declare

 Update 27/10/19:  Vow and Declare has been 'battling' to make the Cup field, hoping horses above in the Order of Entry would drop out. A report today told V & D was now 23 in the Order Of Entry...and should take his place in the Melbourne Cup field on the 5th of November. 

Latrobe

 Update: WILL NOT run in Australia before the Melbourne Cup.

 

Twilight Payment

 

Neufbosc

 

Hunting Horn

 

The Chosen One

 

Sound

 

 

 

Youngstar

Not starting in the 2019 Melbourne Cup

 

Count Octave

Not starting in the 2019 Melbourne Cup

 

Torcedor

Not starting in the 2019 Melbourne Cup